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SOMALILAND Consolidated Appeal Process (CAP) Hargeysa Workshop August 2010

SOMALILAND Consolidated Appeal Process (CAP) Hargeysa Workshop August 2010

Full-text report 43 pages

CAP Process: 4 Steps

1. Consultation with UNCT, IASC, Cluster Leads and NGOs on process (OCHA)
2. Workshops: Puntland, Somaliland, South/Central & Nairobi
3. Develop Cluster Plans (Cluster Leads)
4. Develop Project Sheets (Agencies)

CAP 2010 Document: 2 parts
1. Executive Summary
2. Introduction
3. 2010 in Review including lessons learned
4. Common Humanitarian Action Plan (CHAP)
5. Criteria for the prioritization of Projects
6. Monitoring strategy
7. Conclusion

2010 REVIEW OF HUMANITARIAN RESPONSE
Hargeysa
CAP 2011 CONSULTATION WORKSHOP (10 Aug 2010)

Somaliland 2011 Best Case Scenario

Political/Security

political stability following successful elections. Funding levels increase for humanitarian and development assistance as a reward by the donor community for elections in Somaliland. Security phase downgraded from phase 4 to phase 3. Institutional capacity of the government is improved through a new cabinet and civil servants. The government prioritizes and makes significant improvements in gender. Peaceful settlement of disputes in the eastern regions.

Livelihoods

increased livestock trade and agricultural production (inc. fodder)

Drought

second Gu more plentiful that first rains of season, which were short, enough water to support livestock, crops and pastoral livelihoods. This would have positive impact on economic and nutrition conditions through improved household incomes and agricultural outputs. Somaliland will receive funds to begin work on Reservoirs and dams from 2011 and onwards improvement in natural resource management issues

Flooding

No floods in the coming year, and continued development DRR of activities across sectors in case flooding should occur in the future.

IDPs

begin to be resettled through government/humanitarian assistance and are integrated into communities. Some IDPs from other zones may begin to return home, dependant on the security/humanitarian situation in their place of origin. If there are no major new humanitarian disasters in Somaliland, the number of new IDPs would be greatly minimized.

Rule of Law

Justice system is strengthened, ensuring an equitable rule of law system in Somaliland.

Somaliland 2011 Worst Case Scenario

* Political:
* Disagreement between clans regarding unbalance of the government posts may lead to instability
* Militants becoming stronger could lead to humanitarian crises.
* Humanitarian access decreases and humanitarian agencies leave
* The forthcoming civic and parliamentary elections may create instability in the country, if not free and fair.
* Misunderstanding between government and humanitarian agencies, on issues of priorities and humanitarian interventions, leading to reduced assistance.
* Environment
* Continued failure of rain will lead to famine
* Environmental land degradation increase/increased charcoal production
* Heavy/cold rains causes massive death of livestock
* Dumping of industrial waste off the Somaliland coast will damage the marine resources which acts as a livelihood for the local population
* Mixed migration
* Mass displacement from SCZ, and displacement from neighbouring states, causing influx to urban areas of Somaliland
* Deportation/ forced return that could spread fear amongst asylum seekers and so increase migrations
* Rural- urban migration both within Somaliland and from South and Central Somalia into Somaliland urban centres.
* Increasing child/human trafficking
* Livelihood
* Erosion of livelihood asset continues, and Purchasing power goes down and Terms of trade for livestock declines
* Nutrition indicators deteriorate
* Resource/Land base conflict increase
* Decrease of wage labor, unemployment increases
* Over supply of livestock to Saudi Arabia would lower their prices in Somaliland – this will affect the economic stability of the sector.
* There is a possibility that Saudi Arabia could renew the livestock ban on Somaliland.
* Piracy would continue to negatively impact on the transportation of livestock to international market.
* Global economic recession will continue affecting Somaliland Diaspora remittances.
* Basic services
* Government’s inability to sustain basic services
* Government inability to response to emergencies
* Agencies late response to humanitarian crises
* In adequate supply of funds from international donors

Somaliland 2011 Most Likely Scenario

* Lack of recognition of Somaliland
* Local and legislative agreements are made and consensus between the leadership
* Recurrent drought and flood due to climate change
* Localized and periodic health hazard outbreaks
* More presence of international agencies
* Adequate humanitarian response to meet identified needs as a result of more international agencies’ programming
* IDP displacement from SC Somalia and internal conflicts in Sool and Sanaag
* More collaboration between government and humanitarian community
* Improvement in Somaliland infrastructure due to Diaspora involvement and peace and stability
* Good governance within government institutions
* Improved wages of civil servants. More wages means less corruption. However, implementation wage increment may be difficult due financial constraints inherited by the current government.
* Free and fair parliamentary and civic elections will most likely be held in Somaliland.

Summary of Somaliland

Priorities

Priority 1: Natural Disaster Risk Reduction and Response, focusing on the Pastoral and Agro-Pastoral Communities

Activities:

* Create regional disaster committees
* Disaster preparedness and early warning systems at all levels
* Put in place contingency preparedness to mitigate to recurrent drought of Agro-pastoral infrastructures.
* Introduce rain water harvesting skills to drought born areas in agro-pastoral communities.
* Sustain existing basic services: Livelihoods (inc. agricultural product development), Basic Water, Primary Healthcare, etc.

Priority 2: Formulate EPRP plans to support IDPs, mixed migrants and the urban poor

Activities:

* Mapping of the IDP situation
* Identify partners and provide basic services like water/sanitation, health, education, food and emergency shelter/protection
* Promote livelihoods of the urban poor/IDP community.
* Advocacy/Outreach (host communities and migrants)
* Ensure access to basic services for mixed migrants
* Enhancing physical and legal protection of urban poor/IDPs/mixed migrants

Priority 3: Improve Access to Humanitarian Assistance for the People in Conflict Affected Areas of Sool and Sanaag.

Activities:
* Increase engagement by humanitarian actors in Eastern Sool/Sanaag)
* More advocacy for peace building at community level in conflict areas
* Increase basic social service in the conflict areas




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