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Question of the Week Archive (10+ years)

Re(2): Hypothetical Handicapping Question

Thanks for the response.

Unfortunately, there are a number of problems with your position.

First, would you rather have 40 years worth of time to time reviewing, or instead download 10 years worth of results into a database and have 1 massive study session?

Second, the current dynamic with shrunken pools and minimal attendance means that conclusions drawn from scenarios 40, 30, 20, or 10 years ago might actually be disinformation and steer you in the wrong direction.

Finally, I was discussing "winning" as a theoretical possibility, but are you really going to assert that you can do that by playing numbers? While it is true that a very few of the "good" numbers might have shown a long term plus, in general the top N numbers of any group of your choice are destined to lose.

Incidentally, to the extent that people think that "it can't be done", or that you should "just play numbers", that will increase the possibility of winning for a handicapper / analyst owing to decreased competition.


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