Re(1): What should average Jai-Alai fan do on Wagering? Posted on November 3, 2017 at 12:52:28 PM by Tiger
Can't really share my 'system' since it all lives in and depends on the computer.
Let me start out by saying that, since Day 1, I planned that the system would rely entirely on published data, i.e., entries and results. I knew I wouldn't be able to watch/attend enough to make a difference. I wanted the system to be automated.
I recompute player ratings after ever game. Secret sauce, but I can say recent performance is given lots more weight.
I simulate the game on a point-by-point basis. Secret sauce, but a lot of factors in play - server advantage, team affinity, singles/doubles, etc.
Bets are placed based on Expected Value (Probability*Payoff).
That's w-a-a-a-y simplified. Much more detail happening under the covers. Replies: