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Re(1): What should average Jai-Alai fan do on Wagering?

Can't really share my 'system' since it all lives in and depends on the computer.

Let me start out by saying that, since Day 1, I planned that the system would rely entirely on published data, i.e., entries and results. I knew I wouldn't be able to watch/attend enough to make a difference. I wanted the system to be automated.

The highlights:
    I recompute player ratings after ever game. Secret sauce, but I can say recent performance is given lots more weight.

    I simulate the game on a point-by-point basis. Secret sauce, but a lot of factors in play - server advantage, team affinity, singles/doubles, etc.

    Bets are placed based on Expected Value (Probability*Payoff).
That's w-a-a-a-y simplified. Much more detail happening under the covers.


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