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Alrighty, then

Now I can take that one dollar profit and make plans to parlay it onto the next partido.

Seriously, since I just wrote that code snippet to simulate the partido tiebreaks over there in Basque-land, it was a simple matter to run the numbers on this match.

70-30 -> 98.8%
72.5-27.5 -> 99.5%
75-25 -> 99.8%

Since breakeven for $1.05 is 95%, then depending on where you rate Erik-Ladutxe, technically that bet was a clear overlay.

While that is absolutely not my kind of play ever, it would be a disrespectful to my sim to bet nothing.

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