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Re(2): Wow, is my vision blurred or what on Dania Late Pick 3 result today?


I actually wrote a more detailed analysis last night, then thinking it might be too argumentative, trashed it. But since you have weighed in...

First, 5-6-7. As someone who monitors the competition during Tiger's contests, I know that most of the Chalkies are homing in on best players / best posts. So bettors might include some 567 in their combo's, but the whole enchilada?

Second, Beitia in 6. We have to remember that the 9-pt game, in theory, provides a better chance for skill to prevail. So covering an outclassed player in the worst posts is unappealing.

I always liked / respected Beitia as a player, but this is handicapping, so gotta be realistic. My records show worse than 0-for-30 consecutively win-wise in game 9 going into that game, if we ignore the season break. And no late game doubles wins yet for the new season.

But there is also Erik in the championship singles in post 7. While Arrieta was closing out the last 3 weeks of last season winning the singles at a better than 1 in 3 rate, Erik
failed to win even once in the last 16 games. Probably the partido focus had something to do with it, but I would imagine a lot of Pick 3 bettors got burned during that streak.

Aside from that, post 7 is the worst, especially with Diego, Arrieta, and Zulaika all in favorable posts.

Bottom line for me is that a high-paying Pick 3 with Erik winning 2 legs from posts 1-2-3-4 would be a completely different story.


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