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Question of the Week Archive (10+ years)

Tickle your fancy: QOW #394 redux

Re(1): #394 - How do you use Post 1 serving data?
Posted on April 21, 2011 at 02:29:05 PM by Tiger

Try to handicap a stakes race, you always run into trouble. The horses have run but a handful of times - different tracks, different countries, different conditions, and often not against each other. That's not to say a good handicapper can't wade through it, only that pure computer (numerical) analysis is something of a stretch.

Contrast that with jai-alai, where the same cast play head-to-head thousands of times a year. Now, actual statistical concepts come into play, things like variance and error of estimate. Let's just look at an example - take our good friend Andoni Arriaga, and 10 years of Singles stats. We have:
    4,000 performances
    4,800 Singles games
    600 times serving from Post 1
    600 times receiving in Post 2
    (these numbers are rounded approximations, but close enough for government work ... lol)
That's quite a hunk of data. What could you do with it? The numbers are big enough that statistical variability is much reduced.

Take it a step further. You could argue that, in those same games:
    75 times served to Beitia from Post 1
    75 times received from Beitia in Post 2
    (now, that number 75 may not be precise, but it's in the ballpark)
Just trying to tickle your fancy here, get you thinking.

QoW #394 -


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