Tiger's Jai-Alai Chalk Talk
Discussion forum for Jai-Alai Heaven
Foro de la discusión para el Cielo de Cesta Punta

hits since 8/12/03

Chalk Talk Registration   Participación en Chalk Talk
Useful Links   Hall of Fame   Dania scratches
Question of the Week Archive (10+ years)

Dania Statistics
Fri 3/15 Evening Entries Results
Sat 3/16 Matinee Entries Results
Sat 3/16 Evening Entries Results
Sun 3/17 Matinee Entries Results
Wed 3/20 Matinee Entries Results
Wed 3/20 Evening Entries Results
Thu 3/21 Evening Entries Results

Re(2): Comparing the greats

"the ability to close at game point" which I think is the most important variable of all

I love it when obviously intelligent long-time followers present hcap ideas that are not part of the 'Standard Model', as exemplified in Skiena's 'Calculated Bets'.

I would define the 'SM' as basically 'ratings + sim + payoff considerations', with the assumption that once you work out the 'skill level' of the players, you are home free.

My point is that while you are calling it the most important variable, it's a fairly safe bet that NONE of the sim guys incorporate that explicitly in their models. Eg: I did a completion dissection and bug fix of the Skiena code, so I know for a fact it's not in there. Nor in any of my sims, or even the 'Jai-Alai Supercomputer'.

So probably flying under the radar of all the computer guys. Of course the leveling factor is that those kind of dominating players are already in the spotlight owing to their stunning win records. Meaning wager value = ??

Now, here is a little problem - Do you think that if you had figures such as: Key Guy wins 56% overall at non-PGP, but 62% at PGP, that the case would be clear?

IOW, if you could order up supporting data for your idea, what would you need?


You must register before you can post on this board. You can register here.

Post a reply:
Link Name:
Link URL:
Image URL:

Do you want to post on Chalk Talk?
In order to post your own messages on Chalk Talk, you must first register as a member.
USE THIS LINK Chalk Talk Registration USE THIS LINK to register.
Do NOT use the link above the posting box that says 'You must register ... register here'. It will not work.
Please report problems/questions directly to the Den E-mail: rsbassociates at mindspring dot com
Tiger's Jai-Alai Chalk Talk logos, format and graphics copyright © 2003-2019 by RSB Associates
Create Your Own Free Message Board or Free Forum!
Hosted By Boards2Go Copyright © 2000-2018
Our Sites: Wedding address collection  Wedding thank you wording