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Elastic Retreat / Eisenhauer Box

Just thought I would a comment on that extra games research previously discussed.

It's much more complicated that I originally thought.

But here are just two quick examples:

If you look at Goiko and Lopez when they played at Miami, even IF they had a 10% fall-off in energy and focus, they are STILL bigger and stronger than their opponents. Although the same may not be be true for Aritz, he still retains all of his advantage in skill.

So for the top players a 10% fall-off in energy and focus might translate to a 2% fall-off in point-winning percentage.

A second consideration is that in competitive events like running and bicycle races, it is normal to participate at a sustainable pace, and save something for a big finish. Jai-alai might have an element of that where if you pile on extra games, the player could just throttle down a bit to a sustainable level and then go all-out in the final game.

Therefore, I think that looking for a clear fall-off pattern is far too simplistic.

So, back-burnering this till the Dania break.

Anyhow I was just reading about the Eisenhauer Box and productivity. Made me realize how much time I waste on jai-alai. Here is a great example of time-wasting, composed as a response to Straymar's idea of betting certain crowd-pleasing numbers of Friday nite, which of course implies that the fronton is cheating.



Q's, combined { 13, 15, 17, 35, 37, 57 }
day games hits hit rate cost return net %
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed E 1,014 238 0.235 12,168.00 10,172.70 -1995.3 -0.164
Thu E 988 239 0.242 11,856.00 10,645.10 -1210.9 -0.102
Fri E 1,008 241 0.239 12,096.00 9,519.40 -2576.6 -0.213
Sat M 990 230 0.232 11,880.00 9,123.10 -2756.9 -0.232
Sat E 938 204 0.217 11,256.00 8,155.80 -3100.2 -0.275
Sun M 990 230 0.232 11,880.00 9,123.10 -2756.9 -0.232
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tbx, combined { 123, 124, 134, 234 }
day games hits hit rate cost return net %
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed E 480 86 0.179 23040 22276.8 -763.2 -0.033
Thu E 460 52 0.113 22080 12202.4 -9877.6 -0.447
Fri E 494 63 0.128 23712 17016.2 -6695.8 -0.282
Sat M 476 68 0.143 22848 17976.8 -4871.2 -0.213
Sat E 488 72 0.148 23424 19247.6 -4176.4 -0.178
Sun M 476 68 0.143 22848 17976.8 -4871.2 -0.213
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Draw your own conclusions.

Back to Dwight D.

Combining his ideas with the fact that nobody here seems to be all that keen on having their ideas challenged, leads me to take an extended Cesta Siesta.

So good luck to all, and mucho respect to Tiger for keeping this board alive.

Later.




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