Re(3): Game 10 Posted on April 3, 2019 at 02:30:05 PM by Craig G
Ok, believe it or not, the valuation for Friday's 315 was 1 in 29. So if you can make $58 on bets like that, you are breaking even. Therefore $91, which stinks for some people, in this case looks more like Santa Claus.
Kind of a PITA to recreate the ratings for each game, since it's a new, not-yet-automated method, but the Sat figures were much the same. The exact tri number projections were way under the actual payoffs.
But for the Friday win, post 3 shows a winning rate of about 1 in 3.8 times. That is actually not as high as I might have thought, but with Diego in post 1, he also rates very highly. With both guys in top form, not that hard to believe that the 31 combo gets a 1 in 9 exacta hit rating.
Funny thing is that usually when you have 31* or 32*, the distribution can get fanned out fairly evenly. But in this case, post 5 was Barandika, so for 31-what? the sim had a laser-lock on 5.
However, as we know, any player can stop winning at any time, so this was just a case of catching Erik at his absolute top. YMMV. Replies: