Re(2): game 4 dania tonite !! Posted on April 6, 2019 at 11:47:09 AM by Craig G
And are they related to "armpit" posters? Or maybe underarm bowling in cricket?
I don't think you were following Dania the year before the last partido series, but there was an amazing match-up between Ithurria-Bailo and Xabat-Zabala where I-B had dominated win-wise all through the qualifying phase. They seemed like a lock.
But Xabat-Zabala amazed everyone by rising to the occasion and outplaying them start to finish.
Besides that, going back a few years, (more?) Xabat used to absolutely crush the early game singles over a huge time frame. I have always wondered if anyone in the world besides Xabat knows what changed since then.
Regardless, I see him as a wildcard who can kick in at any time in early singles or pop off a quick win out of nowhere with Zabala in doubles.
So guess what? This singles superfecta runout by Xabat did NOT exactly come out of nowhere. On Mar 24 Sun M Xabat closed out his week with a stupendous blast - running out his first 2 games - singles - from posts 7 and 6. Then PWP in his remaining doubles.
My ideal model or 'conceptual framework' of jai-alai is based on looking at players as being in quantum states. ( but unfortunately it's mostly NYI - 'not yet implemented' as you might say in computer programming) Under that way of thought you would form an opinion of what a player can do in his 'A' state, and if you expected that for today, you wouldn't care one bit if he had been C-D-E for many of the preceding perfs. In fact, in terms of pent-up demand, or capacitive discharge, you might actually like that.
Naturally it's mind-bogglingly complicated to try to analyze jai-alai that way for each player, but there is no reason that you can't apply it selectively to a few key players and then use a prosaic ratings formula + sim for the rest of the field.
Anyhow, one of the points of this digression is that when you watch all these games, you need a philosophy to try to make sense of what you see, and for me quantum hcap works. There are certain times when a player has the right stuff, and other times when he's doing the best he can.
So one person can look at a player going supernova and conclude that it's all crooked. Another might say, "Given a 7-perf per week schedule, and the fact that so many sports experts agree that you can't always be peaking, my job as a wannabe Silver Surfer of Jai-Alai is to ride the waves to victory."