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Re(4): Post 1 or 2 advantage - help me out here

We are writing about winning a Spectacular 7 game. When Post 1 or 2 gets three straight points at the beginning of the game, it needs to win only 2 matches when the game gets into double points (after the 8 team first plays). If Post 1 or 2, after winning the first 3 points of the game, loses its 4th point, it gets back into the game, at double points matches, faster than if it won its fourth single point and then loses its fifth single point. It Post 1 or 2 wins its fourth single point, and then loses its fifth single point match, it still needs to win two double point matches to win the game. All of the foregoing you already knew. Not known, or calculated yet, is the impact of Post 1 or 2 winning the first 4 singles points of the game, thereby giving it a chance to win its fifth point. That is important because if it loses its 6th point after getting 5 points in the first round of play, it then needs only one doubles point to win the game; if that happens, though, it comes up in double point matches 2 teams later than if it lost its fourth point. The odds of then needing to win only one double point match as contrasted with having to win two double point matches, but coming up later in the rotation, I leave to those many chalkies who are more expert than me.

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