Tiger's Jai-Alai Chalk Talk
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I have done these calculations many times over the years, but owing to disorganization, never seem to save them.

This time will be different. The probs for each stopping point, once and for all. I don't think they are listed anywhere else.

In addition, IMO the 'all posts equal' standard that is typically used makes very little sense. Especially since if you thought your key was equal in ability to all others, it probably wouldn't be your key.

So it will be a list with all equal strength as a baseline, and then again with the key winning about 60% of all points, which is strong, but not too extreme.

I will be using the Spec 7 genome - the list of all 1,293,248 possible point sequences - so, unlike a simulation, the figures will be 'dead on balls accurate'.

As opposed to the ** very very close / close enough, realistically ** numbers that you would get from a high cycle count sim.


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