Re(1): Late pik3 at MCJA Posted on August 31, 2020 at 06:23:09 PM by Craig G
I don't know exactly which games the late pik3 will be.
If they are truly late singles, then it would mostly likely resemble the original Gilligan's Island theme song, where you have the top 5 performers, and ... the ... rest.
Seriously, despite the fact that there has been a whole lot of shifting around of the game compositions since COVID happened, you don't need sophisticated software to perform a decent quality data distillation.
All you have to do is go back to June 25, which is the last day they were able to have games 8 and 9 be 'purely' late gamers. The game pages are online, making it possible for a not-to-tough examination of individual player records.
Collectively, ATR had a 1 in 27 win rate in those games. You can safely assume even worse in unfavorable posts.
ATR would be all the guys who in reality might be middle class, so things would be even more extreme if early gamers were brought in.
Doesn't exactly answer your question, but maybe if all the focus is on Douglas and RonRon, then catching Kubala at the right time might pay off. Or catch someone in the second tier at their best.
But I think you are right that there will be a lot more dirt payoffs.
So it might just turn out that the 4-5-6 game placement was the sweet spot for complexity all along. We see soon enough.