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Question of the Week Archive (10+ years)

proceed with caution before a shutdown...

just 2 cautions

1) figures assume no scratches, a scratch of a player in a post position close to the Barandika-Ibon post position will be a bigger impact

2) my simulation did poorly the week before xmas break, I believe other factors come into play before a mini-shutdown or end of a meet that I don't account for (poor performers "coming alive" and over-performing compared to their historicals, i.e. - perhaps trying much harder since it's last chance to get some extra bucks for the break is one of my theories), this week may be one of those situations so I'm proceeding with lots of caution, IOW cutting back. A few possibilities in singles games to watch out for could be Spinner having a good run in game 1, Goenaga and/or Goixerri game 4, Urtaran having a good run in game 7, maybe Arrieta and/or Ithurria in game 10.... Goitia Game 10 (just not a fan of that happening, but now that I say that, watch out, lol)

so, expect the unexpected...I don't have my usual level of confidence in simulation this week

seems to me before xmas break, Israel hadn't been doing well in game 7 and he was on a whole new mission that final week, if I'm remembering correctly, and Ithurria I believe was doing really well game 10 that week too


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