Tiny Dania Stats Anomaly
Posted on February 17, 2025 at 00:10:32 AM by Craig G
So I was about to do something a little different - analyze performances based on proportional campeonato points (based on likelihood by post number) - when I thought I would first do a simple data integrity check by comparing the total games played according to my computer vs the total shown on the Dania website as of Feb 15, 2025.
For the Dania number, I added the wins for all 8 posts and got 713. However, according to my data, it should be 705. So, now I add up quin totals and also get 713. Exactas, same. This was driving me crazy, wondering how I could be off, so I decided that I would have to deal with the tri totals, comparing each one. But before doing that, I found that the sum of all tri's per their stats page was actually matching my number, 705. Hmm.
Having found that, I compared the sum of 21/x tri's with the 21 exacta total. That's 33 vs 37. Also noticed that the sum of a tri's starting with 1 doesn't match the wins total for post 1 either.
Therefore, it appears that the WPS, quin and exacta totals are incorrect. Possibly related to a cancelled performance. No big deal, not complaining, and it won't affect much. But it is odd.
In case anyone is curious, the proportional campeonato points by post for Spec 7 for a win would be something like this:
1 3.83
2 3.83
3 4.51
4 5.04
5 6.13
6 6.09
7 7.04
8 5.31
FWIW, I have sometimes wondered how a post proportionality that would work out for boleto. Might incentivize the guys in post 7 as opposed to discouraging them.