Ok then%01 a Chalkie Challenge.

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Chalk Talk Terms of Service Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge.
Posted on January 3, 2026 at 05:20:07 PM by Craig G

If you are going to classify my bet as poor, then to be objective, we need two things.

A - classification of wager ROI's into respective categories, eg 'poor'.

B - our best estimate for the prob of Johan-Gorka winning that event.

Would love to see some Chalkie group think consensus.

What do you think the true chances of them losing would be? 1 in 10? 20, 40, you name it.

Side observation - I've been to college hockey games where the home crowd gets on the visiting goalie with "Sieve, sieve, sieve". No disrespect to any players intended, but IMO that is part of this particular hcap consideration.

Johan and Gorka have shown consistent dominance against the entire field, while young Kanpandegi got off to a late start in the season, and can be relied on to get into a lot of Tony Woods "can't handle" situations.

Classic Round 1 mismatch.

Replies:

Re(1): Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge. - By decay January 4, 2026 at 05:54:28 PM
Re(1): Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge. - By Barker January 4, 2026 at 02:08:43 PM
- Re(2): Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge. - By Craig G January 4, 2026 at 03:03:55 PM
  - Re(3): Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge. - By Kullster10 January 4, 2026 at 11:23:55 PM
    - Now adding empirical corroboration - By Craig G January 7, 2026 at 11:52:05 AM
    - Re(4): Easiest bet in jai alai history - By Jeff "Laca" Conway January 5, 2026 at 04:53:55 PM
      - Re(5): Easiest bet in jai alai history - By Craig G January 7, 2026 at 12:08:06 PM
        
        Re(6): Watch and Wager froze my account too - By Jeff "Laca" Conway January 7, 2026 at 05:54:13 PM
      - Terri from Watch and Wager - By JAFan January 5, 2026 at 10:43:00 PM
        
        Re(1): Terri from Watch and Wager - By Tiger January 6, 2026 at 09:46:42 AM
    - Re(4): Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge. - By Craig G January 5, 2026 at 00:43:54 AM
Re(1): Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge. - By TommyT January 3, 2026 at 08:06:18 PM
- Re(2): Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge. - By Craig G January 4, 2026 at 03:08:20 PM
  - Re(3): Ok then, a Chalkie Challenge. - By Craig G January 4, 2026 at 03:14:27 PM

Re(1): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By TheJaiAlaiKid January 3, 2026 at 12:18:33 PM
- Re(2): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By Bob B. January 3, 2026 at 03:56:48 PM
  - Re(3): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By JAFan January 5, 2026 at 00:24:13 AM
    - Re(4): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By MJAFANALWAYS January 5, 2026 at 05:39:27 PM
    - Re(4): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By Craig G January 5, 2026 at 00:51:19 AM
  - Re(3): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By TheJaiAliKid January 3, 2026 at 05:30:40 PM
Re(1): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By Hellmethead January 3, 2026 at 05:17:20 AM
Re(1): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By Craig G January 2, 2026 at 11:22:19 AM
- Addend-dumb - By Craig G January 2, 2026 at 11:31:22 AM
Re(1): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By Tom K. January 2, 2026 at 08:55:11 AM
- Tom K is Right.. - By tobyonekanoby January 3, 2026 at 11:02:24 AM
- Re(2): Txanikia and Kanpadegi - By Bg January 2, 2026 at 11:52:31 AM

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