Betting Trifectas Under Both Scenarios Posted on May 9, 2024 at 07:26:39 PM by alq
I strongly prefer random post assignments compared to the older handicapping by player
managers to put the best players in the 5,6and 7 posts. Player manager handicapping (plm)
makes every game similar and tends to make bettors depend on data from past plm games
to estimate the impact of plm handicapping on tri frequency probabilities and payouts or use simulated
probabilities assuming each post has a 50/50 chance of winning.Both of these methods
have problems and the addition of adverse takeout %s make betting an unsatisfying
endeavor in the long run.
However, random posts make each game unique with a different permutation of skill
and post position advantage.The fact that each game is unique provides the opportunity
for the bettor to evaluate each game and make decisions like the following:
1.Should I bet this game?
2.What will the other bettors do in this game?How can I take advantage of that?
3.What is the simulated win % for each post in this particular game depending on the
player skill of each post position?
4.Which leading tri posts should I bet in this game?
5. Which particular tri combos should I bet?
6.How much should I bet in total on this game? Replies:
