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I'd say there are multiple things occurring at once. First, you're right about the "throwing revolution" Posted on August 1, 2025 at 11:20:43 PM by brick
They can teach guys how to throw harder now, and most teams have those hard throwers pound the ball up high where it's hard to hit. One byproduct of this is that more guys need Tommy John surgery when they are young. That's just part of the deal now.
Second, the "third time through the lineup" data. A few years ago, Tampa and a couple other clubs and some private data guys realized that almost all pitchers fare worse their third time against a lineup in a game. Most are dramatically worse the fourth time batters see them. So it's rare to see guys see batters a third time. Where this gets tricky is playoffs.
Third, the playoffs have expanded. You're not just looking at 170 innings out of a starter in the regular season, you're also adding in (ideally) several postseason starts against better teams, featuring lots of high-leverage situations.
Fourth, the data about pitch counts' effect on injury risk is even better, and has added info that high leverage ABs toward the end of high pitch counts are especially damaging.
Fifth, and this is just my own back of the envelope stuff; a lot of the super-hard throwing relievers seem to lose their effectiveness in a short series when they have to pitch 3-4 straight games and guys see them multiple nights in a row. A great example of this was the Guardians' elite bullpen last year in the series against the Yankees. Those awesome relievers got hammered by the Yankees toward the end of the series.
So....this isn't as tight an analysis as you're probably looking for (e.g. teams collectively spent [x/total salary spend] on starting pitching in 2010, and spend [y/total salary spend] in 2025]. But subjectively, I'd say that you don't see pitchers get the jaw dropping, Judge/Soto contracts. But you see a few guys getting $200 million guaranteed each offseason. And you still see a few teams bidding up the price of Corbin Burnes/Max Fried type starters.